2017 Healthcare Forecast Conference
Health Politics and Policies Under a New Presidency
The 26th annual Health Care Forecast Conference will focus on the outlook for health care under a new Presidency. With Republicans in control of all three branches of government, it may seem that repealing and replacing the ACA would be an easy process. Using budget reconciliation many aspects of the ACA can be repealed. However, changing other aspects of the ACA requires 60 votes in the Senate to overcome a Democratic filibuster. Will a political compromise occur to retain some parts of the ACA and and call the new bill “TrumpCare”? The Republicans also discuss changing Medicare into “premium support” and making Medicaid into a block grant program. How likely is it that any of these changes will occur? How will these changes be financed? These proposals affect the aged, those on Medicaid, those receiving ACA subsidies, as well as Governors, health care providers, and insurers. Each constituency will lobby to protect their self-interest. Will Republicans be sufficiently unified on these politically sensitive issues?
States that have expanded Medicaid eligibility have made a commitment to millions of people who have enrolled in Medicaid. How well have they performed? Will they be able to keep their commitment if Mediciad is changed to a block grant program? The impact of Medicaid and the State Budget will be discussed by former State officials and independent analysts. The outlook for Covered California will also be presented.
In addition to the expansion of coverage in Medicaid programs and subsidies in the exchanges, disruptive innovations in health care are likely to affect the delivery of medical services in the future. These innovations have significant implications for strategic planning, organizational structure, financial outlook and profitability. Several examples of disruptive innovations will be discussed.
The final session of the conference will provide a strategic outlook on the health care market from the physician, hospital and insurer perspectives. Payment Models which impact all sectors of health care will be presented as well. How large employers view the continuing evolution of the health care market will be discussed, and this session will end with a Wall Street outlook.
Speakers
Keynote Speaker:
Norman J. Ornstein, PhD
Resident Scholar, American Enterprise Institute, Television News Commentator
Session Speakers:
Joseph R. Antos, PhD
Wilson H. Taylor Scholar American Enterprise Institute
Melissa Buckley
Director, Innovations Fund, California HealthCare Foundation
Paul J. Feldstein, PhD
Professor Emeritus and Robert Gumbiner Chair in Health Care Management
UCI Paul Merage School of Business
David Fields
Executive Vice President, Blue Shield of California
Mohit Ghose
Vice President, Molina Healthcare
James E. Glassman, PhD
Senior Economist and Managing Director, JP Morgan Chase & Co.
William Hoagland
Senior Vice President, Bipartisan Policy Center
Lance Lang, MD
Chief Medical Officer, Covered California
Robert J. Margolis, MD
CEO Emeritus, HealthCare Partners
Anna Mathews
Journalist, The Wall Street Journal
J. Michael McWilliams, MD, PhD
Warren Alpert Associate Professor of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School
Internist, Brigham and Women’s Hospital
Brian Morfitt
General Partner, Frazier Healthcare Partners
Wendell Primus, PhD
Senior Policy Advisor on Health, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi
Dean A. Rosen, JD
Partner, Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen Bingel & Thomas
Emad Rizk, MD
CEO, Verscend
Tom Robinson (invited)
Partner, Oliver Wyman
Murray N. Ross, PhD
Vice President and Director, Health Policy Analysis and Research
Kaiser Permanente Institute for Health Policy and Former Executive Director, MedPAC
Meena Seshamani , MD, PhD (invited)
Director of Clinical Performance Improvement, MedStar Health
Sheryl R. Skolnick, PhD
Managing Director, Director US Equity Research, Mizuho Securities USA, Inc.
Eric R. Spangenberg, PhD
Dean, UCI Paul Merage School of Business
Margaret Tatar
Managing Principal, Health Management Associates
Eric Van Horn
CEO, Landmark Health
Dan Walters
Reporter, Sacramento Bee
Anne Weiss
Managing Director, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Michael Wilson
Partner, Mercer Health and Benefits
Program
Day One – Thursday, February 23, 2017
8 am to 4:45 pm
Session 1
Forecasts: US. Economy, Private Sector Health Care Forecast and Federal Health Care Expenditures
This opening session will present a national economic forecast, a private sector health care forecast including trends in employee health benefits and costs outlook. Medicare and Medicaid projections, and a Federal Budget forecast and outlook will also be addressed.
Session 2
Outlook on Federal Health Legislation Under A New Presidency
Now that the Republican Party controls the legislative and Executive branches of government, how likely is it that Republican proposals will be enacted? Speakers representing the viewpoints of both political parties will discuss the outlook for these and other issues facing the debate in Congress on health care.Session 3
Conference Keynote Presentation: “Health Politics and Policies Under A New Presidency”
Norm Ornstein returns for his 20th year to offer his insights on the Washington political landscape. He will present an inside-the-beltway perspective on the continuing political debate in Washington on health care reform under this new Presidency.Session 4
California – State Budget and the Outlook on Health Care
If the ACA is repealed, how will this impact Covered California? Will the State budget , facing Increased Medicaid expenditures, adversely affect the safety net and health care services to the underserved. These topics will be discussed by speakers from the Administration and the private sector. Independent critique will round out the presentations.Day Two – Friday, February 24, 2017
8 am to 12 pm
Session 5
Disruptive Innovations in Health Care
Health care innovations are being developed which potentially can change the competitive environment and dynamics of the market, and impact the cost of health care, revenue streams, and the strategic direction of provider organizations and others. Several innovations will be presented which fall into this category.Session 6
Strategic Outlook on the Health Care Market – Impact of Continued Market Evolution
The ACA has been the stimulus for many changes in the health care market. Market dynamics and a strategic outlook will be presented from perspectives of alternative payment models and their impact on physician, hospitals and insurers. The session will end with a Wall Street perspective.Fees
Registration and Fees
Only paid registrations will have a confirmed seat. Reservations by mail must be postmarked no later than February 6, 2017. After this date only online registrations with credit card payment will be accepted based on space availability. Registration fee is per person, includes all sessions, breakfasts, luncheons, coffee breaks, buffet reception, and Conference materials. To register for the conference online, please go to merage.uci.edu/RegisterEvent/2017HCC.
$795 per person – regular registration
$750 per person – two or more from same organization
$695 per person – UC faculty, UC staff, UC alumni, and county, state or
federal government employees
$895 per person – all registrations after February 6, 2017
Cancellations and Refunds
All cancellations must be in writing. Cancellation deadline is February 6, 2017. The fee, less a 15% cancellation charge, will be refunded if the written cancellation is received within this deadline. No refunds will be made for written cancellations postmarked after this deadline, but a substitute may be admitted to the Conference. Refunds will be processed after the Conference.
How to Register
Please go to merage.uci.edu/RegisterEvent/2017HCC and register with credit card. For questions or payments by check, please contact Margaret Wong at mwong@uci.edu.
Location
The 2017 Health Care Forecast Conference is held at the Arnold and Mabel Beckman Center of the National Academies of Sciences & Engineering, Irvine, California, at 100 Academy Drive, Irvine, CA 92617. (Adjacent to the University of California, Irvine campus.) The telephone number for the Beckman Center is (949) 721-2200.
The conference site is located three miles from the John Wayne Airport in Orange County, California, which is accessible via most major airlines.
Sponsors
Principal Benefactor
- California Health Care Foundation
Major Benefactors
- Anthem Blue Cross
- Cigna Healthcare of California
- Kaiser Permanente
- MemorialCare Medical Foundation
- Molina Healthcare
- OptumCare
- SCAN Health Plan
Benefactors
- Aon Hewitt
- Arch Health Partners
- Blue Shield of California
- Moss Adams
Co-Benefactors
- CAPG
- Orange County Medical Association
About Us
About the Merage School of Business
UC Irvine’s Paul Merage School of Business combines the academic strengths and best traditions of the University of California with the cutting-edge, entrepreneurial spirit of Orange County in the heart of America’s Tech Coast. Four dynamic MBA programs, a Master of Professional Accountancy, a Master of Finance, MS in Biotechnology Management, MS in Engineering Management, and PhD and undergraduate business degrees deliver the School’s thematic approach to business education: sustainable growth through strategic innovation. The Merage School consistently ranks among the top 10% of accredited business schools in the U.S., and boasts a world-class faculty, strong alumni network and close individual and corporate relationships.In the 2016 Financial Times Global MBA rankings report, the Merage School was ranked among the top 30 business schools in the U.S. In addition, the school is the No. 1 school in the U.S. for percentage of women faculty, ranked 9th in the U.S. for salary increase and 29th in the U.S. for faculty research. Also, Ivy Exec ranked the Executive MBA program top 30 in the world. At the Merage School, we graduate leaders with the exceptional ability to help grow their organizations through strategic innovation-supported by analytical decision-making, information technology and collaborative execution, and enhanced by a highly-personalized learning environment. In-class and on-site experiences with real-world business issues give our students the edge needed to help companies compete in today’s global economy. Seven Centers of Excellence, Executive Education programs and a variety of conferences and colloquia provide numerous opportunities for students and the business community at large to enhance their education experience as well as broaden and update their professional expertise.
About the Center
The Center for Health Care Management and Policy at The Paul Merage School of Business advances knowledge through research and education while providing forums for dialogue on crucial challenges and concerns facing the nation’s healthcare system today. This interdisciplinary research institute brings together healthcare scholars, policy experts, and industry professionals to share vital information and a range of perspectives on such fundamental issues as quality of care, cost, and access.A wide range of programs contribute to the debate on national healthcare policy and help leaders in government, business, and nonprofit organizations make better-informed decisions. The Center’s activities build on the Merage School’s health care-oriented educational programs, including its nationally acclaimed Health Care Executive MBA program and its MD/MBA joint degree program. The Center is under the direction of Mireille Jacobson, PhD, Professor of Economics and Public Policy.
