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2017 Healthcare Forecast Conference
 

Health Politics and Policies Under a New Presidency

The 26th annual Health Care Forecast Conference will focus on the outlook for health care under a new Presidency. With Republicans in control of all three branches of government, it may seem that repealing and replacing the ACA would be an easy process. Using budget reconciliation many aspects of the ACA can be repealed. However, changing other aspects of the ACA requires 60 votes in the Senate to overcome a Democratic filibuster. Will a political compromise occur to retain some parts of the ACA and and call the new bill “TrumpCare”? The Republicans also discuss changing Medicare into “premium support” and making Medicaid into a block grant program. How likely is it that any of these changes will occur? How will these changes be financed? These proposals affect the aged, those on Medicaid, those receiving ACA subsidies, as well as Governors, health care providers, and insurers. Each constituency will lobby to protect their self-interest. Will Republicans be sufficiently unified on these politically sensitive issues?

States that have expanded Medicaid eligibility have made a commitment to millions of people who have enrolled in Medicaid. How well have they performed? Will they be able to keep their commitment if Mediciad is changed to a block grant program? The impact of Medicaid and the State Budget will be discussed by former State officials and independent analysts. The outlook for Covered California will also be presented.

In addition to the expansion of coverage in Medicaid programs and subsidies in the exchanges, disruptive innovations in health care are likely to affect the delivery of medical services in the future. These innovations have significant implications for strategic planning, organizational structure, financial outlook and profitability. Several examples of disruptive innovations will be discussed.

The final session of the conference will provide a strategic outlook on the health care market from the physician, hospital and insurer perspectives. Payment Models which impact all sectors of health care will be presented as well. How large employers view the continuing evolution of the health care market will be discussed, and this session will end with a Wall Street outlook.

Conference Videos

UCI Welcome Message

UCI Welcome Message

Fair Economic Winds
James E. Glassman, PhD
Senior Economist and Managing Director, JP Morgan Chase & Co.

James E. Glassman

Mercer National Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Plans 2016
Michael Wilson
Partner, Mercer Health and Benefits

Michael Wilson

The Federal Budget & Health Care Reform
William Hoagland
Senior Vice President, Bipartisan Policy Center

William Hoagland

The ACA is Working—Especially in California
Wendell Primus, PhD
Senior Policy Advisor on Health, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi

Wendell Primus, PhD

Making Health Reform Great Again
Joseph R. Antos, PhD
Wilson H. Taylor Scholar American Enterprise Institute

Joseph R. Antos, PhD

Health Politics and Policies Under a New Presidency
Dean A. Rosen, JD
Partner, Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas

Dean A. Rosen, JD

Norman J. Ornstein, PhD
Resident Scholar, American Enterprise Institute, Television News Commentator

Norman J. Ornstein, PhD

California 2018 Budget: Medi-Cal
Margaret Tatar
Managing Principal, Health Management Associates

Margaret Tatar

Dan Walters
Reporter, Sacramento Bee

Dan Walters

Lessons from Covered California's Experience
Lance Lang, MD
Chief Medical Officer, Covered California

Lance Lang, MD

David Fields
Executive Vice President, Blue Shield of California

David Fields

Frazier Healthcare Partners
Brian Morfitt
General Partner, Frazier Healthcare Partners

Brian Morfitt

Disruptive Data in Healthcare: The Impact on Payers and Providers
Emad Rizk, MD
CEO, Verscend

Emad Rizk, MD

Disruptive Innovation in Health Care: The Role of Behavioral Economics
Anne Weiss
Managing Director, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation

Anne Weiss

Landmark Health Overview
Eric Van Horn
President, Chief Business Officer, Landmark Health

Eric Van Horn

The New Age of Payer-Provider Partnerships
Josh Michelson
Partner, Oliver Wyman

Josh Michelson

Anna Mathews
Journalist, The Wall Street Journal

Anna Mathews

The Chaos Factor: The 'Price' of Trump?
Sheryl R. Skolnick, PhD
Managing Director, Director US Equity Research, Mizuho Securities USA, Inc.

Sheryl R. Skolnick, PhD

Past Events

2016 Keynote Speaker

Norman J. Ornstein, PhD
Resident Scholar, American Enterprise Institute, Television News Commentator

2015 Keynote Speaker

Norman J. Ornstein, PhD
Resident Scholar, American Enterprise Institute, Television News Commentator

2014 Keynote Speaker

Norman J. Ornstein, PhD
Resident Scholar, American Enterprise Institute, Television  News Commentator

Speakers

Keynote Speaker:

Norman J. Ornstein, PhD
Resident Scholar, American Enterprise Institute, Television News Commentator

Session Speakers:

Joseph R. Antos, PhD
Wilson H. Taylor Scholar American Enterprise Institute

Melissa Buckley
Director, Innovations Fund, California HealthCare Foundation

Paul J. Feldstein, PhD
Professor Emeritus and Robert Gumbiner Chair in Health Care Management
UCI Paul Merage School of Business

David Fields
Executive Vice President, Blue Shield of California

Mohit Ghose
Vice President, Molina Healthcare

James E. Glassman, PhD
Senior Economist and Managing Director, JP Morgan Chase & Co.

William Hoagland
Senior Vice President, Bipartisan Policy Center

Lance Lang, MD
Chief Medical Officer, Covered California

Robert J. Margolis, MD
CEO Emeritus, HealthCare Partners

Anna Mathews
Journalist, The Wall Street Journal

J. Michael McWilliams, MD, PhD
Warren Alpert Associate Professor of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School
Internist, Brigham and Women’s Hospital

Brian Morfitt
General Partner, Frazier Healthcare Partners

Wendell Primus, PhD
Senior Policy Advisor on Health, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi

Dean A. Rosen, JD
Partner, Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen Bingel & Thomas

Emad Rizk, MD
CEO, Verscend

Tom Robinson (invited)
Partner, Oliver Wyman

Murray N. Ross, PhD
Vice President and Director, Health Policy Analysis and Research
Kaiser Permanente Institute for Health Policy and Former Executive Director, MedPAC

Meena Seshamani , MD, PhD (invited)
Director of Clinical Performance Improvement, MedStar Health

Sheryl R. Skolnick, PhD
Managing Director, Director US Equity Research, Mizuho Securities USA, Inc.

Eric R. Spangenberg, PhD
Dean, UCI Paul Merage School of Business

Margaret Tatar
Managing Principal, Health Management Associates

Eric Van Horn
CEO, Landmark Health

Dan Walters
Reporter, Sacramento Bee

Anne Weiss
Managing Director, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation

Michael Wilson
Partner, Mercer Health and Benefits

Program

Day One – Thursday, February 23, 2017

8 am to 4:45 pm

Session 1

Forecasts: US. Economy, Private Sector Health Care Forecast and Federal Health Care Expenditures

This opening session will present a national economic forecast, a private sector health care forecast including trends in employee health benefits and costs outlook. Medicare and Medicaid projections, and a Federal Budget forecast and outlook will also be addressed.

Session 2 

Outlook on Federal Health Legislation Under A New Presidency

Now that the Republican Party controls the legislative and Executive branches of government, how likely is it that Republican proposals will be enacted? Speakers representing the viewpoints of both political parties will discuss the outlook for these and other issues facing the debate in Congress on health care.

Session 3

Conference Keynote Presentation: “Health Politics and Policies Under A New Presidency”

Norm Ornstein returns for his 20th year to offer his insights on the Washington political landscape. He will present an inside-the-beltway perspective on the continuing political debate in Washington on health care reform under this new Presidency.

Session 4

California – State Budget and the Outlook on Health Care

If the ACA is repealed, how will this impact Covered California? Will the State budget , facing Increased Medicaid expenditures, adversely affect the safety net and health care services to the underserved. These topics will be discussed by speakers from the Administration and the private sector. Independent critique will round out the presentations.

Day Two – Friday, February 24, 2017

8 am to 12 pm

Session 5

Disruptive Innovations in Health Care

Health care innovations are being developed which potentially can change the competitive environment and dynamics of the market, and impact the cost of health care, revenue streams, and the strategic direction of provider organizations and others. Several innovations will be presented which fall into this category.

Session 6

Strategic Outlook on the Health Care Market – Impact of Continued Market Evolution

The ACA has been the stimulus for many changes in the health care market. Market dynamics and a strategic outlook will be presented from perspectives of alternative payment models and their impact on physician, hospitals and insurers. The session will end with a Wall Street perspective.

Accreditation

Accreditation Statement

This activity has been planned and implemented in accordance with the accreditation requirements and policies of the Accreditation Council for Continuing Medical Education (ACCME) through the joint providership of the University of California, Irvine School of Medicine and The Paul Merage School of Business. The University of California, Irvine School of Medicine is accredited by the ACCME to provide continuing medical education for physicians.

Designation Statement

Designation Statement. The University of California, Irvine School of Medicine designates this live activity for a maximum of 11 AMA PRA Category 1 Credits™. Physicians should claim only the credit commensurate with the extent of their participation in the activity.

Nurse CEUs

CEUs for Nurses. Application has been made to the California Board of Registered Nursing for 11 Nurses CEUs.

CA Department of Insurance CEUs

Department of Insurance, Sacramento, California. Application has been made for approval of 11 CEUs for this conference.

Fees

Registration and Fees

Only paid registrations will have a confirmed seat. Reservations by mail must be postmarked no later than February 6, 2017. After this date only online registrations with credit card payment will be accepted based on space availability. Registration fee is per person, includes all sessions, breakfasts, luncheons, coffee breaks, buffet reception, and Conference materials. To register for the conference online, please go to merage.uci.edu/RegisterEvent/2017HCC.

$795 per person – regular registration
$750 per person – two or more from same organization
$695 per person – UC faculty, UC staff, UC alumni, and county, state or
                                federal government employees
$895 per person – all registrations after February 6, 2017

Cancellations and Refunds

All cancellations must be in writing. Cancellation deadline is February 6, 2017. The fee, less a 15% cancellation charge, will be refunded if the written cancellation is received within this deadline. No refunds will be made for written cancellations postmarked after this deadline, but a substitute may be admitted to the Conference. Refunds will be processed after the Conference.

How to Register

Please go to merage.uci.edu/RegisterEvent/2017HCC and register with credit card. For questions or payments by check, please contact Margaret Wong at mwong@uci.edu.

Location

The 2017 Health Care Forecast Conference is held at the Arnold and Mabel Beckman Center of the National Academies of Sciences & Engineering, Irvine, California, at 100 Academy Drive, Irvine, CA 92617. (Adjacent to the University of California, Irvine campus.) The telephone number for the Beckman Center is (949) 721-2200.

The conference site is located three miles from the John Wayne Airport in Orange County, California, which is accessible via most major airlines.


Accommodations

A block of rooms has been reserved at the Hyatt Regency Resort, Newport Beach, California, for the nights of Wednesday and Thursday, February 22 and February 23, 2017, at the special rate of $165.00 per night for single or double occupancy plus taxes. This rate may be extended to Friday and Saturday nights, February 24 and 25, 2017, based upon prior request and room availability. This special rate cannot be guaranteed after February 6, 2017.

The Hyatt Regency Resort Newport Beach is about three miles from the Beckman Center, and daily transportation via shuttle will be provided. Registrants who need hotel reservations should contact Hyatt directly for room reservations. Reservations can be made online at this link: resweb.passkey.com/go/PMHC

Hyatt Regency Resort Newport Beach
1107 Jamboree Rd, Newport Beach, CA 92660, USA
T: + 1 949.729.6173  F: + 1 949.759.3253

Sponsors

The UC Irvine Paul Merage School of Business and the UC Irvine School of Medicine gratefully acknowledge the educational grants provided by the following organizations:

Principal Benefactor

  • California Health Care Foundation

Major Benefactors

  • Anthem Blue Cross
  • Cigna Healthcare of California
  • Kaiser Permanente
  • MemorialCare Medical Foundation
  • Molina Healthcare
  • OptumCare
  • SCAN Health Plan

Benefactors

  • Aon Hewitt
  • Arch Health Partners
  • Blue Shield of California
  • Moss Adams

Co-Benefactors

  • CAPG
  • Orange County Medical Association

About Us

About the Merage School of Business

UC Irvine’s Paul Merage School of Business combines the academic strengths and best traditions of the University of California with the cutting-edge, entrepreneurial spirit of Orange County in the heart of America’s Tech Coast. Four dynamic MBA programs, a Master of Professional Accountancy, a Master of Finance, MS in Biotechnology Management, MS in Engineering Management, and PhD and undergraduate business degrees deliver the School’s thematic approach to business education: sustainable growth through strategic innovation. The Merage School consistently ranks among the top 10% of accredited business schools in the U.S., and boasts a world-class faculty, strong alumni network and close individual and corporate relationships.

In the 2016 Financial Times Global MBA rankings report, the Merage School was ranked among the top 30 business schools in the U.S. In addition, the school is the No. 1 school in the U.S. for percentage of women faculty, ranked 9th in the U.S. for salary increase and 29th in the U.S. for faculty research. Also, Ivy Exec ranked the Executive MBA program top 30 in the world. At the Merage School, we graduate leaders with the exceptional ability to help grow their organizations through strategic innovation-supported by analytical decision-making, information technology and collaborative execution, and enhanced by a highly-personalized learning environment. In-class and on-site experiences with real-world business issues give our students the edge needed to help companies compete in today’s global economy. Seven Centers of Excellence, Executive Education programs and a variety of conferences and colloquia provide numerous opportunities for students and the business community at large to enhance their education experience as well as broaden and update their professional expertise.

About the Center

The Center for Health Care Management and Policy at The Paul Merage School of Business advances knowledge through research and education while providing forums for dialogue on crucial challenges and concerns facing the nation’s healthcare system today. This interdisciplinary research institute brings together healthcare scholars, policy experts, and industry professionals to share vital information and a range of perspectives on such fundamental issues as quality of care, cost, and access.

A wide range of programs contribute to the debate on national healthcare policy and help leaders in government, business, and nonprofit organizations make better-informed decisions. The Center’s activities build on the Merage School’s health care-oriented educational programs, including its nationally acclaimed Health Care Executive MBA program and its MD/MBA joint degree program. The Center is under the direction of Mireille Jacobson, PhD, Professor of Economics and Public Policy.
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Event Details

Date: 02.23.2017 - 02.24.2017
Time: 08:00 a.m. - 05:30 p.m.
Event Type: Public

Cost

$795

Venue

Arnold and Mabel Beckman Center
100 Academy Drive
Irvine, CA 92617

Organizer

Center for Health Care Management and Policy
Margaret M. Wong
Associate Director
mwong@uci.edu