Peter Navarro

Peter Navarro

Professor Emeritus, Economics/Public Policy    Personal website  


PhD in Economics, Harvard University

Peter Navarro received his PhD in economics from Harvard University and is a professor emeritus at The Paul Merage School of Business, University of California, Irvine. He appears regularly in such media outlets as the BBC, CNN, CNBC, MSNBC, and the CBS News, including 60 Minutes. He wrote ten books, most recently Death by China, Seeds of Destruction, Always a Winner, and the bestselling The Coming China Wars. In 2001, his If It’s Raining in Brazil, Buy Starbucks was also a bestseller. Professor Navarro’s other books include the path-breaking management book, The Well-Timed Strategy.

Professor Navarro’s unique and internationally recognized expertise lies in his "big picture" application of a highly sophisticated but easily accessible macroeconomic analysis of the business environment and financial markets for investors and corporate executives.

His articles have appeared in a wide range of publications, from Business Week, the Los Angeles Times, the Boston Globe, the Chicago Tribune, the International Herald Tribune, the New York Times, and The Wall Street Journal to the Harvard Business Review, the MIT Sloan Management Review, and the Journal of Business. His free weekly investment newsletter is published at

His first documentary film Death By China, narrated by Martin Sheen, is one of the most popular documentary films now streaming on Netflix. Prior to streaming on Netflix, the film was shown in more than 50 theaters around the country and won numerous film festival awards, including “best documentary” at the Durango and Studio City film festivals.

His latest book and companion documentary film series is Crouching Tiger: What China's Militarism Means for the World (November 2015).




Journal Articles

  • “The Well-Timed Strategy: Managing the Business Cycle,” California Management Review, Fall, 2005.
  • "The Hidden Potential of Macroeconomics in MBA Programs for CEO Decision Making," Academy of Management Learning & Education, Forthcoming 2006.
  • "Cell Phone Roulette & Consumer Interactive Quality,” Journal of Policy Analysis & Management, Vol. 24, Issue 2, Spring 2005.
  • "Why Johnny Can't Lead," Harvard Business Review, December 2004 (Note).
  • "Principles of the Master Cyclist,” Sloan Management Review, Winter 2004.
  • "On the Political Economy of Electricity Deregulation – California Style,” Electricity Journal, Vol. 17, Issue 2, March 2004.
  • "The Future of Electricity Deregulation: Lessons Learned From the California Crisis.”  Energy Law Journal, Summer 2003.
  • "Aftershocks—and Essential Lessons—From the California Electricity Debacle,” Electricity Journal, Vol. 16, Issue 4, May-June, 2003.
  • "Follow the Market’s Cues,” Harvard Business Review, May, 2002.
  • "Are You Ready for a Blackout?" Harvard Business Review, April, 2001.
  • "Assessing the Costs of Terrorism,” (With Aron Spencer).  Milken Institute Review, Fourth Quarter, 2001.
  • "Promoting Wind Energy Development in an Era of Restructuring," (With Frank Harris), Electricity Journal, January-February, 2000.
  • "Natural Wastewater Treatment: An Unfulfilled Potential," Public Works Management & Policy, January 2000.
  • "Economics in the Cyber Classroom," Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2000.
  • "Policy Issues in the Teaching of Economics in Cyberspace," (With Judy Shoemaker), Contemporary Economic Policy, July 2000.
  • "Economics in Cyberspace: A Comparison Study," (With Judy Shoemaker), American Journal of Distance Education.  Summer 2000.
  • "The Power of Cyberlearning: An Empirical Test,” (With Judy Shoemaker), Journal of Computing in Higher Education, Fall 1999.
  • "Notes from the Electronic Classroom,” Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, Winter, 1998.
  • "The Case for Radical Restructuring of the Electricity Industry,” Harvard Business Review, January-February,” 1996.
  • "The Simple Analytics of Performance-based Ratemaking: A Guide for the PBR Regulator,” Yale Journal on Regulation, Winter, 1996.
  • "The Restructuring Regulator:  A Guidebook and Research Agenda For the Electricity Industry,” Energy Law Journal, Fall, 1995.
  • "The ABCs of Performance-based Ratemaking," Public Utilities Fortnightly, July 15, 1995.
  • "On the Theory of Growth Controls." (With Rob Engle and Richard Carson), Journal of Urban Economics, November, 1992.
  • "A Reevaluation of the Evidence on Decreasing Average Costs in Nuclear Power." (With Jack Marshall), Rand Journal, Spring, 1991.
  • "Growth Controls:  Policy Analysis for the Second Generation." (With Richard Carson), Policy Sciences, May, 1991.
  • "Electricity Price Shocks and International Trade," International Journal of Japan and the World Economy, 1990.
  • "Creating (& Destroying) Comparative Trade Advantage," Journal of Comparative Regulation, June, 1989.
  • "The U.S. Regulatory Environment and International Trade:  Lessons from the Electricity Sector," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, Summer, 1989.
  • "Fundamental Issues in Natural Resource Damage Assessments," with Richard Carson,  Natural Resource Law Journal, Fall, 1988.
  • "Comparative Energy Policy:  The Economics of Nuclear Power in Japan and the U.S.,"  Energy Journal, October, 1988.
  • "How Markets For Impure Public Goods Organize," with Jeffery Dubin,  Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization, Fall, 1988.
  • "The Income Elasticity of Corporate Contributions," Quarterly Review of Economics and Business, Winter, 1988.
  • "A Buyer's (& Seller's) Guide to the Job Market for Beginning Ph.D. Economists," with Richard Carson.  Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 1988.
  • "Why Do Corporations Give to Charity," Journal of Business, January 1988.
  • "Capture and Ideology in American Farm Policy," Journal of Rural Sociology, Vol. 49, No. 4, Winter, 1984.
  • "Union Bargaining Power in the Coal Industry, 1945-1981," Industrial and Labor Relations Review, Vol. 36, No. 2, January, 1983.
  • "Risk Spreading and U.S. Energy Development," Energy Systems and Policy Journal, Vol. 6, No. 3, 1982.
  • "Our Stake in the Electric Utility's Dilemma," Harvard Business Review, May-June,1982.
  • "Public Utility Regulation: Performance, Determinants, and Energy Policy Impacts," Energy Journal, April, 1982.
  • "The Legal History and Economic Implications of Oil Pipeline Regulation," Energy Law Journal, Fall, 1981, with T. Stauffer.
  • "Financing U.S. Energy Development: An Economist's Perspective," Energy Law Journal, Vol. 2, May, 1981.
  • "A Critical Comparison of Utility-Type Ratemaking Methodologies in Oil Pipeline Regulation," Bell Journal of Economics, Autumn, 1981, with Thomas R. Stauffer and Bruce C. Peterson.
  • "The 1977 Clean Air Act Amendments: Energy, Environmental, Economic and Distributional Impacts," Public Policy, Spring, 1981.

Multimedia Textbooks and Materials

Book Chapters

  • "The Promise -- and Potential Pitfalls -- of Cyberlearning," in Issues in Web-based Pedagogy, Greenwood Publishing, Summer, 2000.
  • "The Japanese Electric Utility Industry," Cambridge University Press, 1996.
  • "The Performance of Utility Commissions," Electric Power, edited by John Moorhouse, Pacific Research Institute for Public Policy, 1986.
  • "Regulatory Climate and the Cost of Capital," Issues in Utility Economics, edited by Professor Michael Crew, Lexington Books, Fall 1982, with J. Dubin.

Book Reviews

  • Laura E. Hein, Fueling growth:  The Energy Revolution and Economic Policy in Post-war Japan (Harvard University Press), Journal of Comparative Economics, June 1992.
  • Yoon Hyung Kim and Kirk R. Smith, Electricity in Economic Development: The Experience of Northeast Asia (Greenwood Press), Journal of Energy and Development, Spring 1991.
  • Geoffrey Brennan and James M. Buchanan, The Reason of Rules: Constitutional Political Economy (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1985), Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization.
  • Kichiro Hayashi, The U.S.-Japanese Economic Relationship: Can It Be Improved?  Journal of Comparative Economics.

Other Publications

  • "Should We Privatize Social Security?"  Controller’s Quarterly, State of California, Fall 2001.
  • "Declaring Economic War on the Power Cartel: How California Can Protect Itself During the Coming Summer of ‘Rolling Blackmail,’”  (With UCAN).
  • "Policy Options for Promoting Wind Energy Development in California: A Report to the Governor and State Legislature," (with Frank Harris).  November, 1999.
  • "How to Accelerate Global Wind Energy Development," (with Frank Harris).  February 2000.
  • "Rent Control in Cambridge, Mass.," Public Interest, Spring, 1985.
  • "The Effect of Rate Suppression on Utilities' Cost of Capital," Public Utilities Fort Nightly, Vol. III, No. 7, March 31, 1983.
  • "How Wall Street Ranks the Public Utility Commissions," Financial Analysts Journal, November/December 1983.
  • "Save Now, Freeze Later," Regulation, September/October 1983.
  • "The Soft, Hard, or Smart Path: Charting the Electric Utility Industry's Future," Public Utilities Fortnightly, June 18, 1981, Vol. 107, No. 13.
  • "A Critique of Conventional Utility Ratemaking Methodologies," Public Utilities Fortnightly, February 27, 1981, with Thomas Stauffer.
  • "Electric Utility Regulation and National Energy Policy," Regulation, January/February, 1981.
  • "Rent Control and the Landlord's Loophole: Condominium Conversions in Cambridge Massachusetts," Urban Land, Volume 39, No. 10, November 1980.
  • "The Politics of Air Pollution," Public Interest, Spring, 1980.
  • "The Energy Crisis," Regulation," January/February, 1980, with Joseph P. Kalt.